Latest posts
Africa’s Expanding Gray Zone
In January 2026, fighters affiliated with the Islamic State Sahel Province (ISSP) struck the international airport in Niamey, Niger’s capital, marking the group’s first major attack on a hardened target near a Sahelian seat of government. Weeks later, Russia’s Defense Minister Yunus-bek Yevkurov arrived in Niamey to discuss expanding Africa Corps operations, the latest chapter
Insurgent Governance and Civil Affairs: The Karen National Union
The Karen National Union (KNU) is an ethnic political and insurgent organization operating in southeastern Myanmar that has been engaged in a protracted conflict with the central government since 1949. As the political leadership of the Karen nationalist movement and the governing authority associated with the Karen National Liberation Army, the KNU has historically exercised
Russia’s Crime-Terror Nexus: How the GRU Weaponized Criminal Networks for Sabotage in Europe
From Intelligence Officers to Disposable Agents Between February 2022 and February 2026, European authorities documented at least 151 sabotage incidents linked to Russian intelligence services. The tally, compiled jointly by the International Centre for Counter-Terrorism and GLOBSEC, represents only cases where completed investigations allow confident attribution. The actual number is almost certainly higher. Germany alone
Rail Disruptions at Milano Cortina 2026
Updated March 2026 Since this article was first published, significant developments have clarified the scale and investigative trajectory of the Milano Cortina rail sabotage. Three coordinated incidents struck on February 7, 2026 — the opening day of the Winter Olympics — within a four-hour window: electrical cables were severed on the Bologna high-speed corridor, an
Lithuania Uncovers GRU-Linked Sabotage Cell
VILNIUS — In a striking public attribution this week, Lithuanian authorities said they have charged six foreign nationals in connection with a Russian military intelligence-linked sabotage campaign targeting infrastructure connected to European security and Ukraine support. This case, and related incidents from Poland to the Baltic Sea, illustrates a pattern of hybrid sabotage that European
A Failed Coup in Guinea-Bissau
Overview of the Events In late 2025, elements linked to the security services in Guinea-Bissau attempted to seize control of key state facilities in the capital, Bissau. The episode unfolded over a short time window and did not escalate into sustained fighting. Loyal units retained control of core government sites, and the attempt collapsed before
Venezuela Contingency Operation: Resistance Potential and Irregular Warfare Risk
Update (January 2026): In a major escalation of U.S.–Venezuelan tensions, U.S. special operations forces conducted a surprise military operation in early January 2026 that resulted in the capture and removal of Venezuelan President Nicolás Maduro and his wife from Caracas; both were transported to New York to face federal narco-terrorism charges. Maduro’s departure has created
Civilian Health Defense: A Strategic Framework for Resistance in Irregular Warfare
Contributor MOE GYO Moe Gyo is a writer and consultant working with ethnic organizations in Myanmar. Writing from the Thai–Myanmar borderlands, he draws on years of direct engagement with communities shaped by conflict and disrupted health systems. His work captures firsthand how resilience and informal support networks develop under prolonged irregular warfare. His writing has